You may like to look at my puzzles.
https://aaamazingphoenix.wordpress.com/2019/05/24/puzzles-index/
https://agrace.altervista.org/702-25-horses-puzle-can-you-solve-it/
My latest posts are here!
You can see most of my new posts here:
https://aaamazingphoenix.infinityfree.me/
https://aaamazingphoenix2.infinityfree.me/
Alan
Please follow me on Tumblr: Best of AAAmazingPhoenix is now on Tumblr!
Please look at my newest site:
https://aaamazingphoenix.tumblr.com/
I hope you will follow me on Tumblr.
The site contains new blog posts and also the Best of AAAmazingPhoenix:
https://aaamazingphoenix.wordpress.com/
Below is my latest version of the Grace Ethical Grid:
Thank you for your support.
Alan Grace
Welcome to the AAAmazing Phoenix on Blogspot.com
Welcome
This is my first attempt using Blogspot.com
This post will be duplicated on my three new Blogspot sites mentioned below.
The duplication is to avoid confusion and to make the three sites self-contained.
Historically I have mainly been using WordPress.
From now I hope Blogspot will become my main site.
You can view my historical WordPress blog here:
AAAmazingPhoenix.WordPress.com
The Blogspot version will become my new AAAmazingPhoenix site from now on:
AAAmazingPhoenix.Blogspot.com
We introduce the LEARN and LEARNER networks:
LEARN: engage2learn2.blogspot.com (Public)
LEARNER: learn2engage2.blogspot.com (Private)
(Subscription only: Time Capsule for Beta version of the Game)
Below is a pdf of my WordPress posts:
Below is my latest Ethical model:
I hope you enjoy my posts
Alan Grace
Auckland, New Zealand
My COVID Odyssey Time Capsule is now in a new site!
- Wishing you all a Merry Christmeow and a COVID-free new year. All the best for 2024!
My Christmas gift to you: my main site is now publicly available again:
https://aaamazingphoenix.wordpress.com/
Old notice: My main site may become private this morning (Monday 23 October)- links from posts here may not work! - My main site:
https://aaamazingphoenix.wordpress.com/
Alan’s Ark & COVID Odyssey: Alan Grace’s vir[tu]al journey – Alan’s Ark & The Amazing Phoenix & COVID Odyssey: Alan Grace’s vir[tu]al journey investigating/experiencing COVID-19 life (wordpress.com) - For New Zealand in early 2020 and worldwide see:
https://aaamazingphoenix.wordpress.com/2023/12/17/covid-19-worldwide-estimates-if-ro-exp2-5r-2-5/ - A range for Ro for COVID-19 early in 2020 – Green Bottles, Alan’s Ark & COVID Odyssey: Alan Grace’s vir[tu]al journey (wordpress.com)
COVID-19 Worldwide in 2020~ How many people may one person infect on average? What can we expect when Ro = r^2.5? – Green Bottles, Alan’s Ark & COVID Odyssey: Alan Grace’s vir[tu]al journey (wordpress.com)
COVID-19~ Refining estimates for Ro~ Is Ro close to r^2.5? – Green Bottles, Alan’s Ark & COVID Odyssey: Alan Grace’s vir[tu]al journey (wordpress.com)
Update 2: COVID-19 in NZ in Early 2020~ Does Re = 5.8 and Ro = 6? – Green Bottles, Alan’s Ark & COVID Odyssey: Alan Grace’s vir[tu]al journey (wordpress.com)
COVID Odyssey: Winter Windup 5 ~ Conclusions for NZ in 2020 ~ Back to the past: Re = 5.8 and Ro = 6 – Green Bottles, Alan’s Ark & COVID Odyssey: Alan Grace’s vir[tu]al journey (wordpress.com) - My summary for Ro for COVID-19:
COVID Odyssey: Winter Windup 15 ~ Executive summary ~ Our formula for Ro – Green Bottles, Alan’s Ark & COVID Odyssey: Alan Grace’s vir[tu]al journey (wordpress.com) - If you like puzzles, see:
My Competitions (Index) – COVID Odyssey: Alan Grace’s vir[tu]al journey (wordpress.com) - If you like looking at analysis of COVID-19, see my (open) COVID Odyssey Time Capsule:
https://covidodyssey.wordpress.com/ - If you like T.S. Eliot or The Love Song of J. Alfred Prufrock, see:
Tentative decisions; More T.S. Eliot – COVID Odyssey: Alan Grace’s vir[tu]al journey (wordpress.com) - My COVID Odyssey Time Capsule:
Alan Grace: COVID Odyssey Time Capsule for aaamazingphoenix.wordpress.com – Changes embargoed forever. Warning: Most links in the posts below will go back to the original site: aaamazingphoenix.wordpress.com
#702. 25 Horses Puzle. Can you solve it?
I like this puzzle.
No spoilers allowed. Email me your answers. Do not write your answers in a comment.
Message in a bottle- Come to space with me to Europa
Wishing you all a Merry Christmeow and a COVID-free new year. All the best for 2024!
My Christmas gift to you: my main site is now publicly available again:
https://aaamazingphoenix.wordpress.com/
All links on Altervista should now work.
COVID-19~Worldwide estimates for Ro in 2020
We se the results in our previous post to calculate worldwide estimates for Ro in 2020 using data up to mid-August 2020.
We obtain the following table:
For more countries see:
COVIDWorldAllCasesCPMNZcorr
Notes:
- The date and number of cases are when r* was calculated.
- The estimate for Ro is the value in penultimate (second to last) column.
Round this value to one decimal place. - r* is calculated from spreadsheet data using the following algorithm r* = r (in the third line);
r is the value in the second line:
Historically we used n = 10 in the formula on the first line above. Most recently we use n = 2.5.
We note that in New Zealand r = 1.4033 and r* = 1.4067, both very close to 1.4 estimated in our previous post: