We se the results in our previous post to calculate worldwide estimates for Ro in 2020 using data up to mid-August 2020.
We obtain the following table:
For more countries see:
COVIDWorldAllCasesCPMNZcorr
Notes:
- The date and number of cases are when r* was calculated.
- The estimate for Ro is the value in penultimate (second to last) column.
Round this value to one decimal place. - r* is calculated from spreadsheet data using the following algorithm r* = r (in the third line);
r is the value in the second line:
Historically we used n = 10 in the formula on the first line above. Most recently we use n = 2.5.
We note that in New Zealand r = 1.4033 and r* = 1.4067, both very close to 1.4 estimated in our previous post: